Showing posts with label Jindal Photo. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Jindal Photo. Show all posts

Monday, September 10, 2007

If you’re an Investor, Our India Stock Picks will add to your Net Worth

In this article let us analyze 5 India stocks that are technically bullish for the medium term. The discussion is based on weekly charts.

Ispat Industries Limited (Group A, Scrip Code: 500305):

The company was promoted by the well known Mittal family. Lakshmi Mittal, the eldest of the Mittal brothers is the fifth richest person in the world, according to Forbes magazine. He branched out in 1994, taking over the international operations of the group. Pramod Mittal and Vinod Mittal look after the steel business in India. The company produces sponge iron, hot and cold rolled coils, galvanized and colour coated sheets. Sponge iron production capacity is 1.6 million tonnes per year while hot rolled coil steel plant capacity is 2.4 million tonnes per year.

Ispat Industries reported a net loss of Rs.9.5 crores for the financial year 2006 – 07. In December 2005 the company had revised the capital structure of the company. 40% of the equity share capital of the Company was converted into 0.01% Cumulative Redeemable Preference Shares (0.01% CRPS). After it was relisted, it made a high of 25 in April 2006. Within about two months, it fell to a low of 10.10. The stock gained reasonably in the next 6 months and touched a high of 17.90 in January 2007. After almost 8 months of corrective decline/consolidation, it broke its resistance with record volumes last week. The stock is expected to test its previous high at 25 soon. Medium term target works out to 29.

Jindal Photo Limited (Group: B1, Scrip Code: 532624):

Jindal Photo Limited is India’s largest manufacturer of photographic films and related products. The company produces colour roll films, analog & digital cameras, photographic colour paper, medical X-ray films & equipments, photo processing equipments, photographic chemicals etc. It has over 36% market share in the colour paper and colour roll Films. The other products such as X-ray Films, cine colour positive film, etc. have market share of about 25%. Jindal Photo markets the products under the brand name “FUJIFILM”. The company had reported a net profit of Rs.27.5 crores for the financial year 2006 – 07.

This stock too, had undergone restructuring of capital like Ispat Industries. It made a highs of 418.95 on May 27, 2005 and 416.50 on August 26, 2005. It was on a steady decline for next one year – no real buying support from market.

It has consolidated since then for about 11 months and broken out in August 2007 with reasonably good volumes. The next resistances for the stock are at 158.85 and 186.70.

Ranbaxy Laboratories Limited (Group A, Scrip Code: 500359):

Ranbaxy is a well known pharmaceutical company headquartered in India. It has presence in 49 countries and there are manufacturing facilities in 11 countries. Ranbaxy manufactures and markets generic pharmaceuticals, value added generic pharmaceuticals, branded generics, active pharmaceuticals and intermediates. The company’s net profit for the financial year 2006 – 07 was reported to be Rs.386 crores.

Ranbaxy is a constituent of both Sensex and Nifty. The stock had a torrid time in October 2005 when it fell by almost 33% in three weeks. This was just after Ranbaxy lost a UK lawsuit to Pfizer. For a stock analyst, this was not a surprise – a “Three outside down” candlestick pattern occurred in the monthly chart of the stock in February 2005, clearly indicating a long term reversal.

The stock continued to make lower highs and lower lows since May 2006. The first wave in medium term charts apparently ended in May 2007. After a four month correction/consolidation pattern, the stock had broken out this week with reasonably good volumes. Please note the “three inside up” candlestick pattern prior to this week, formed at support levels. The stock’s next resistances are 452 and 530.

Today’s Writing Products Limited (Group B1, Scrip Code: 531830):

Today’s Writing is one of the leading manufacturers of pens and other writing products. It has about 35 varieties of pens alone and recently they have extended their business to school and office stationery items. The company has been consistenly making profits ever since it went public 11 years ago. It declared a net profit of Rs.11.6 crores for the financial year 2006 – 07.

This stock has made a few “V” like patterns, two of which are shown above. ‘V’ formation is generally considered to be a quick reaction by the crowd to offset the steep fall in prices; Technical traders prefer a cup and handle type of pattern instead of this pattern. The stock has broken its resistance at 71.50. This has happened after 4 months of decline. Note the huge “upward gap” or “rising window” in the last week’s price. This gap, should act as a support in case the stock corrects from the current levels. The stock is expected to test its resistances at 88.40 and 97.

Venky’s India Limited (Group: B1, Scrip Code: 523261):

Venky's (India) Limited was formerly known as Western Hatcheries Limited and belongs to Venkateshwara Hatcheries group. Its produces animal health products, pellet feeds, processed chicken products and specific pathogen free (SPF) eggs. There are about 30 units spread across the country. Recently the company has diversified into nutritional health products for human beings, pet food and health care products. The company’s net profits were worth Rs.11.5 crores for the financial year 2006 – 07.

The stock had fallen from a high of 227.10 in August 2005 to a low of 91 in June 2006. It has been bullish since then, though it nearly tested its support levels. In June 2007 it did break its resistance but without much volumes. It got corrected slightly and now, it has almost come back to its previous close at 174.10. This confirms bullishness. The stock is expected to test its resistances at 212 and 227.10.

Sunday, June 10, 2007

Technical review of select India stocks – Part 2

Overview:

In this article let us discuss some stocks which have either been consolidating over a few months or have fallen considerably from their all time highs. This will enable an investor to identify potential opportunities even in an uncertain or falling market.

In the previous review I had mentioned that the following stocks need to close above their resistance levels:

Ind Swift Laboratories Limited: 63.40 (Current: 59.20)

Omax Autos Limited: 94.70 (Current: 92.05)

Indiabulls Real Estate: 420 (Current: 376.35)

As on 08.06.07 the stocks have not broken their short term resistance. However, we will keep tracking them in every review.

Jindal Photo Limited:

The stock had fallen from a high of 418.95 in May 2005 to a low of 70 in June 2006. It has been consolidating since then. A year of consolidation is very interesting. This stock is currently bullish in both daily and weekly charts.

One can see the consolidation between 70 and 120 levels in weekly chart in the graphic displayed above. The support at 70 still remains intact even though it came close to be broken around 72 in early March 2007. The stock had strongly bounched back from that level. The only requirment now, is that it has to close above 122.30 on a weekly basis. Current market price is 109.60. Though a bearish harami pattern has been formed during the last two weeks, we will wait for the price action next week to confirm the trend. Harami (English: pregnant) is usually a “confusing” pattern unless confirmed with another parameter. If it manages to break resistance we can expect targets of around 159 and 187.

Pochiraju Industries Limited:

The stock got listed on 09.02.07 for an issue price of 30. After hitting a high of 63.70 on the same day it had fallen to a low of 20.25 on 26.03.07. The resistance at 27.20 was broken with a huge “upward gap” on 23.05.07.

“Upward Gap” or positive difference between yesterday’s high price and today’s low price is an indication of strong demand for the stock. But in many cases, the so called “gap” gets filled quickly and we need not worry much about this. Watch the consistent decline from 23.05.07 after the “gap” day. This shows that the crowd is not interested at all in the stock now; But the technical analysis theory suggests that this type of formation is usually highly bullish. Why would a stock should jump suddenly from 22.35 to 30.70 in just two sessions and no one is interested after that? If the price volume action is not uniform we can suggest that it is probably something else. The stock appears to be certainly very bullish and 50% retracement from its low works out to a target of 42.15 or about Rs.18 from the current levels.

Punjab Tractors Limited:

The stock managed to climb up from a low of 227.90 on 18.01.07 to a high of 363.70 on 09.02.07. It was on a corrective decline for about 3 months. It has become bullish once again. Usually, 50% retracement will be a good support in a bull market and it will be a good resistance in a bear market. One can see it from the above chart. Once the stock goes below 50% retracement it manages to bounce back again and closes above it. 4 months of consolidation is extremely good and given the bullishness of the stock, we can expect it to test its all time high of 363.70 shortly. Further upmove may be possible if it manages to close above it on a weekly basis.

Conclusion:

All the three stocks mentioned above have been consolidating over a period of time now. In stock markets, big movments usually take some time. Stock may be consolidating for a long while eventually before a breakout occurs either way. But as of now, from the data available, it could be only on the bullish side.